A Fight to the Finnish
by Tom Hubbard
The
Scandinavian provinces consist of four Supply centres: St. Petersburg, Norway,
Sweden, and Denmark, as well as one non-centre, Finland. These five spaces form
a distinct, separate, and easily-defended block of centres, control of which is
virtually essential to the victories of three players, and virtually
unobtainable by the other four.
St.
Petersburg and Denmark are the only spaces that may be attacked by armies from
the outside. A land attack must therefore be channelled through one of these two
provinces. And yet, St. Petersburg only borders on two inland provinces, while
Denmark only bounds one. A player whose forces will be composed mainly of
armies, then, west send them into this area quickly, or he could easily find him
approaches blocked.
Fleets,
thus, are essential to the capture of this area. Every land province borders on
at least one sea space, while Denmark borders four. Moreover, every space in or
adjacent to these provinces, with the sole exception of Moscow, say be occupied
by a fleet, A player who finds his land approaches blocked might still be able
to convoy his armies into position.
Russia
is obviously the most disadvantaged player here, He has only one centre in which
to build fleets, compared with Germany's two and England's three, He is perhaps
most likely to need his units elsewhere, which will in turn necessitate his
building armies instead of fleets. He has little cause to ally with either
England or Germany, since a pact with the latter would limit his frontier, while
an English alliance will require Russia to send armies through the Polish
Corridor, dangerously neglecting his Balkan flank, French neutrality is also
desired, since a three-way anti-German pact will result in minimal profit and
'much waste of time in sending the victorious armies elsewhere, Russia has
potential in the North, but his advantage will decrease with time. Either
Germany or England will wax as the other wanes--or they might be co-operating
against France, which means they'll probably take the Russians on next.
The
standard anti-English opening of F(StP)-GoB, A(Mos)-StP can be expanded upon in
the fall with A(StP)-Fin and F(GoB)-Swe. If the English have fallen for the
feint and supported their move to Norway, they are left with only one build,
which makes them strategically vulnerable to the French or Germans. Even if the
English do second guess the move, a fleet built on the North Coast of St.
Petersburg can effectively guarantee Norway and can almost ensure no further
English progress in Scandinavia, If another player in the south can be induced
to prevent English incursions onto the continent, Russia can then concentrate
fully on the Balkans, and worry about Denmark when it suits him.
Of
course, there is a serious risk here that every Russian player should know about
- namely, Turkey and Austria. The Balkans are inevitably a source of contention,
with players quick to take advantage of another's weakness, Perhaps the best
tactical complement to the above moves would be a pre-arranged bounce in the
Black Sea, and Ukraine instead of Galicia, so as not to antagonise the
Austrians. Tactics alone, however, can guarantee nothing. This set is fairly
risky, though safer than some which have paid off, and should under no
circumstances be tried unless the Russian is sure he is secure in the south, and
that at least one of the other players will have Italy to contend with.
Diplomacy, the name of the game, is far more valuable to a player than any
amount of tactical skill.
As
far as Scandinavia is concerned, Germany is the second weakest player of the
three (or the second strongest, if you're Germany) though you can, if necessary,
build two fleets in those centres closest to the action. Your traditional first
year centre, Denmark, can be knocked out by a supported attack in 1902 (but
then, Russia fears the same). You can better afford to wait, though, if a
stalemate can be maintained in the North. If you'd rather soften the French up
first, this can be done - and will help your chances in Scandinavia if you
remember to build at least one more fleet. You can probably count on English aid
for both of these plans. On the other hand, an attack on England is probably the
best way to throw these provinces away. Russia will want to get in on the
action, and even if he takes your side, he'll still want Norway. He'll be able
to hold it, too, while using the extra unit elsewhere, By the time England's
been dealt with, you may be too late to knock out the Russian. An English
campaign will build up your navy, though. I don't mean to say that it's
impossible to take all of Scandinavia if England is attacked first, but I do
believe an attack on England to be the German strategy most likely to cost you
Scandinavia.
The
first year opening most favoured by the German with designs on Scandinavia is
the "Baltic Opening." In the spring, you move F(Kie)-BAL and
A(Ber)-Kie. The safest southern move is probably A(Mun)-Ruh, as you want, if at
all possible, to guarantee yourself a second build. Then, in the fall, mend
A(Kie)-Den, F BAL-GoB and A(Ruh)-Hol. This should give you two centres, with at
least one of them guaranteed. The army in the Ruh can also drop back to cover
Munich - supported from Kiel if absolutely necessary (i.e., if there are
unfriendly units in both Burgundy and Tyrolia). Assuming all goes well, though,
the armies in Holland and Denmark reassure the English, whose fleet Norway is of
obvious value.
The
Russians, who have probably opened with F(StP)sc-GoB, are given two poor
alternatives for the falls either Sweden or the Baltic. If they try the latter,
nothing moves, but the German gets two builds and can guarantee himself Sweden
next year. If the Russians try to take Sweden, they get a build but a supported
German attack can take it away, while the fleets in Norway and the Gulf of
Bothnia can press St. Petersburg. A second German fleet can cover the Baltic and
later convoy units east.
England
is usually more willing to work with Germany against Russia than vice versa.
Germany can also be of help against France, while the conquered German homeland
could easily become the setting for a Russian-French stab. Germany can also be
more easily kept under control by the English, and if necessary, England and
either Austria or Italy can limit German growth once France and/or Russia have
been dispatched.
When
England looks at Scandinavia, she sees the "exterior," composed of
Norway, the Skagerrak, and the North, Norwegian and Barents Seas. These spaces
she effectively controls. But the '"interior" spaces, Sweden, Finland,
the Gulf of Bothnia and the Baltic Sea, must also be considered. To get from one
to the other is often tricky, but there are ways. The three spaces that fleets
can pass through, Sweden, Denmark and Kie, are certain to be well protected by
their owner. Of these three, Sweden is generally the most susceptible, a
gullible German may agree to support the English in (in exchange for Belgium, or
some such), not realising that he is eventually going to regret that. An army
convoyed to Norway, and then dropped to Finland is another way of getting into
Sweden. If the Englishman can time this properly, he can frighten / force the
Russians to support St. Petersburg in holding - and not cutting the Finnish
support for F(Nwy)-Swe Even a
single fleet "inside" Scandinavia is of immense value to the
Britons--and a serious threat to both the others, Three coastal centres, two
fleets at the game's outset, and an unexposed position give England an
overwhelming advantage in Scandinavia; if France and Italy can be persuaded to
fight each other, the North is as good as taken. Both Germany and Russia would
be far happier to ally with England than with one another. Germany can
co-operate with England in two directions, while Russia can mount a land
offensive through Poland while England makes an amphibious attack. Thus, neither
of them will get in each other's way.
There
are actually two different English opening, both of which are known as the
"Churchill Opening," The first is F(Lon)-Nth, F(Edi)-NWG, A(Lpl)-Yor;
the second sends Liverpool to Edinburgh. There are about a million things that
could go wrong, and if you get nailed unexpectedly, this plan could leave you
pretty badly exposed (if you'll pardon the expression). If Fall 1901 (everybody
read for this?), send F(NWG)-BAR, and convoy A(Yor) or A(Edi)-Nwy. This give you
one, count it, one, build, However, it virtually guarantees you ~ Petersburg,
and will probably cost the Russians Sweden as well, It also forces the Russians
to build in St. Petersburg, which isn't the best thing in the world for England,
but which ought to make someone else grateful.
I
see the main drawback to this plan as the need for a rock-solid alliance with
Germany. If Italy goes for Austria, the Germans will need to put considerable
first year pressure on France. A(Ruh) S F(Hol)-Bel in the fall should, at the
very least, keep Belgium open and limit the French to one build. If the Germans
do get Belgium, there is a neutral centre tucked safely behind the lines for
England to take later, plus the added available support into the Channel.
One army in Denmark, plus some skilful diplomacy should lull Russian
suspicions long enough to swing something up North. Germany can do quite well by
this plan, in fact.
The
Russians could throw things awry by moving A(Mos)-StP.
This would force England to gamble on the supported convoy. Failing to
take the Barents Sea early could seriously jeopardise Norway, the only English
beachhead. If the Russians have gone to Finland and built another fleet, the
English could be in serious trouble, and must of necessity depend on an attack
on Warsaw or Sevastopol to distract the Russians. A German move on Warsaw could
be a nice ace-in-the-hole, or failing that, the Turks or Austrians wouldn't be
likely to miss such an opportunity.
A
French move to the Channel could also throw the plan off, but would not injure
the English badly. The army in Yorkshire (and hopefully not Edinburgh) could
cover London while Belgium and Norway are taken, with Russia forgotten for the
moment The English could simply
shift strategies and concentrate on France first, while gradually building up in
the North, England can afford to wait and take Scandinavia when he and the rest
of the board are ready. The German can sometimes do likewise, but must be such
more careful as he may not be able to spare the units to make his move when he
wants to. The balance can easily be tipped and spoil the German's chances.
Russia can do quite well in an early blitz, but if he tries to wait, his chances
fade rapidly as the other two become stronger. Still, Russia must tend to his
southern flank first and may not be able to spare the units in time. It is
possible, especially for Germany and Russia, for a player to win without
controlling all four of these centres, but not likely. A great number of
tactical options are possible, both at the game's beginning and at any time
thereafter, but essentially they all consist of getting as many units into the
area as possible, with heavy emphasis on fleets.