Player Analysis for Fall of 1906 in describe |
Army Bulgaria SUPPORT Army Rumania. Army Rumania SUPPORT Army Bulgaria. Just in case T tries something funny, although I doubt he will. I want to leave these units near T, since I think the chances of him attacking me after he takes sev will be high. Army Galicia SUPPORT Russian Army Warsaw. Protect war from G. This is under the assumption that EG is still together. Army Tyrolia SUPPORT Army Bohemia. Army Bohemia SUPPORT Army Tyrolia. Defensive moves against G. tyr is also well positioned to stab Italy. From boh, I can influence things with G and/or R. Fleet Trieste -> Albania. Italy is supposed to convoy alb-tun, although I don't know if he will support that move or not . Actually, I agreed to do tri-adr in case Italy gets bounced from tun. But, I asked E not to try and bounce Italy in tun, and if E stabs G, I think he will let alb-tun succeed. I decided I'd rather have the fleet in alb than adr. From alb, I still have access to ion, and can also defend gre. This disadvantage is risking getting bounced and going nowhere. Russia My position is fragile with a large Germany to my north, an extremely dangerous T to my south, and the possibiity of an Italian stab. So even though R is weak, I'm seeking friendship with him. R's track record as an honest player is another reason. R could potentially help with containing T or help with fighting EG (or EGT). Italy Italy blew a chance to set up a stalemate line by not supporting alb-tun in the spring, choosing to use tys to support gol instead. AI should have done spr06: alb-tun (tys supporting), tri-alb fall06: ion-nap, alb-ion This would have set up a stalemate line of pie-tus-tys-tun with ion s tun, nap s tys and tus s pie. (saving F would be nice to deny EG a center, but not necessary.) In part this is my fault, since I didn't take the time to look at the E vs I position at all. While it is likely that T would attack this line from behind to collapse it, at least would have given AI a better bargining position against E; more incentive for E to stab G. There is also the possibility that Italy wanted that bounce, in order to keep an army in the Balkans to stab me. E is expecting me to stab Italy. Whether or not I do so will depend on how things look. I won't stab this move becuase of the Italian army in alb and the possibility it's an EG trick to break up AI. Turkey The way things currently stand, AIR will probably be eliminated by EGT. So, AIR needed to work on those 3 to keep them from allying. The "AI suicide to kill T if T stabs us" is really the only thing detering T, and it's pretty weak. If T takes sev and builds a fleet, T could very well hold out long enough against even a combined AIR attack for EG to crush AIR from the west. Italy might prefer throwing me to the dogs and let GT kill me, so he can fight E and hope he can come out of it with a share in a draw. Toward T, I'm maintaining talk of AIT. But, I would like to get rid of T, but that's not possible currently due to a lack of fleets. So for now, the next best thing is to contain T with R's help. Germany New German player. I'm working on him to get him to break with E. G really can't attack E since he has one fleet, but at the least I hope to make G use units to defend against E. I suggested that it is only a matter of time before G is stabbed by E since 1) it would be easy, while Italy is positioned to give E a decent fight, 2) G can't help E that much against Italy so he's not useful to E, and 3) E choosing to expand by squeezing through mos is unlikely. I suggested that G let AR dislodge some of his armies so he could disband and rebuild fleets, but G didn't want to risk that. So, I offered peace in central Europe, so he could focus on E, and an alliance with Italy to provide fleets (unitl G could get some of his own fleets later by dislodge/disband or gaining centers in mar, war). England Still working on getting E to stab G. He says he'll do it, but we'll see. I asked E to not try to bounce Italy out of tun. That will minimize Italy's ability to stab me later, although I may regret it if it turns out an Italian army in ser would be useful in defending against T. If I don't stab Italy (as E expects me to do eventually), then the unit in tun will be useful against E. If I do stab Italy, having that army out of the balkans makes things easier for me. I also asked E to not take stp, since I want R around as an ally should things get difficult for me with G and/or T. I told E that stp was essentially already his since it would be relatively easy to take. France F is playing a role in the effort to break up EG, by offering E anything in exchange for survival.
England's Fall 1906 (I think) Analysis: Things slowed down a bit lately, and not many people sending press. But it picked up near the end and this should be a turn that will definitely shake up the board. I have decided to stab Germany. That the original German just went abandoned has little to do with it, obviously, since I've been talking about it for a while. Diplomatically, in order of importance: Germany - quickly got the new guy on the same page about what we're "supposed" to do, and he was very nice and should make good raw meat. He was worried about losing both Warsaw and Sweden, and asked to move into Belgium. I said, sure, but he declined after all. Pity, I needed something to do with that fleet in the Channel. Austria - talked to him a bit and told him that I'd be stabbing Germany this turn. (The only person that doesn't know I'm stabbing Germany is France, the German himself, and Germany's mom; however, I'm not really worried about security leaks, since for anyone to go anywhere the EG alliance will have to break.) Austria and I reached agreement - I think - that if I stabbed Germany, he'd definitely put some serious thought into stabbing Italy. I told him to get into position for doing this next year. Turkey - continued to talk with him about his cooperating with Russia against Austria. This is, in effect, my backup plan to the Austrian stab of Italy. Turkey, however, might take Sev which would make things very weird. I doubt Russia would appreciate it much. Russia - I'm not sure if he'll show up or not, since he hasn't responded to any mail lately. Hopefully he'll abide by my request to leave Norway alone this turn since I really need that third build (a fleet) to deal with Italy. Whatever. I'm trying to play very honest with him - since that's the style that he's professed and followed throughout the game, in the hopes that this can be used to my advantage later on. So although making the above request might seem dumb and very greedy, it is being honest and I think he'll appreciate that. France - Didn't say much to France. He wrote me something, but I forgot what he said exactly. I think it was anti-German in intent. Italy - Didn't talk to him. Bouncing his convoy attempt to Tunis last turn gladdened my heart. Austria, actually, says that Italy is going to convoy again, and asked that I let this convoy through to Tunis. I agreed readily, since that will make Austria's stab that much easier and probably make Italy react strongly toward Austria and therefore lessen his defence against me. Also, if he wants to put an army in Tunis, that's fine with me. A weak move in defending the Med, in my opinion. Tactically, this should be a pretty good stab... A Norway-Holland and F North C A Nwy-Hol: The new German agreed to the F Bar S A Nwy-StP plan, which is good. Holland should be wide open for a convoy to land there. I hope. F Sweden Holds: This is subject to change, depending on what I hear from Russia. Last I heard, he was still going to Norway. If I decide to double-cross Russia - or if a new one shows up - I'll try to keep Sweden while either bouncing Russia in Norway or playing quiet with the new guy and assume that he's going to hold in StP and not go for Nwy. (Risky.) In general, if I stay in Sweden this turn and get it, I'll be able to move to Denmark next turn without opposition (Germany has no unit in Kiel and shouldn't be able to build anything). So I'm leaving Denmark open for a convoy next spring or simply moving F Swe-Den. F Eng S F MAt-Bre: F Eng was headed to Belgium for a while, to bounce Germany's "stay-even" move. Now that he's changed his mind, I have to be boring and support my fleet into Brest. This move is guaranteed to succeed, and I choose to keep my F Eng in place for next spring convoying purposes. F Spa(sc) S F WMed-GoL: If Germany goes after Mar like he's supposed to, and I do this move, I don't have to worry about Spain getting dislodged. Also, there's a chance that Italy might be supporting his convoy to Tunis with his F Tyn, and so this move actually has a chance of dislodging his F GoL. I had flirted with the idea of supporting the French army in place, but I think that's something that Italy will be doing with A Piedmont. I'll let him do the work while I kick his fleet out of the way. My big fear is that someone let Germany on to the fact that I was coming his way. The only person that would have much to gain from this is Italy. I'll be crossing my fingers on this. Still, chances are that this will work and the game will get very fluid again. I've laid down some things with Austria and with RT, and depending on how my foundations are I think I have a good shot at moving toward victory. The key, however, is how brutally I get Germany. The knife is being sharpened... Lord Sheringham --------------------------------------------------------------- England's Fall 1906 Build Analysis The stab went off pretty well. Russia apparently got my message that I wanted him to stay at home in StP this year, and therefore I get three very useful builds. Russia will be taking one of Sweden/Norway next year - or at least that's the plan, and so my goal for this year is to get at least one more centre off of Germany. That will be Denmark, which I have locked down. Italy's convoy to Tunis has me puzzled. I really don't understand this move at all, and by allowing his F GoL to be dislodged he made a big mistake. I don't have the forces to push him around in the Med, but I can annoy the hell out of him until - I hope - Austria stabs him and makes one or two fleets disappear. I'm disappointed that the Turk took Sev, since that will make Russo-Turkish cooperation very difficult. Russia has already written saying that he and Austria were intent on cooperating against Turkey. We'll see. Anyway, for my three builds, no surprise here: Armies in London, Liverpool and Edinburgh... it's always been a dream of mine to re-enact D-Day, and now here's my chance. My job will be much easier than the real thing, since the landing zones have already been prepared. A Edi will be going to Denmark, I'm pretty sure, and A London will be going to one of Bre, Pic or Bel. This depends on what Germany removes to some extent, but unless he keeps both A Gas and A Bur alive, I'll have a guaranteed convoy to the continent. A Lpl will probably be going to Wales next turn in order to convoy over in the Fall. Got a lot of diplomatic work to do, but I'm pretty confident in my abilities. Fingers crossed. Lord Sheringham
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General comment The situation is quit difficult because i do not know anything about the former treaties and diplomatic negotiations. The biggest problem is the alliance with England. I do not like England in my back, because it can nearly always get to or three german support centers and i can do nothing against. I started negotiation with austria about that. hoping we can start an german-austrian-italian coalition against england. The problem is turkey. I think england is negotiating with turkey cuase, after a fall of russia, england has no other possibilities than turning towards germany, so i think he will try to persuade turkey to pressure italy and/or austria so he has to handle with germany alone. I have to fulfil my treaties with england at the moment cause of my poition wide open to an english intervention. all i need is time and peace with austria. a gas-mar a bur s a gas-mar for the very unlikely case that italy does not support marseille. thought about gas-bre, but with england still loyal, this would be an unfriendly move and i give up pressure against mar. a mun s a sil a ruh s a mun never trust austria a lvn-mos cut support for all three russian support center, stp, war and sev f bar s english a nor-stp i don not like that, but not to do it would be a war declaration to england a sil-war a pru s a sil-war i do not really think i capture war, but let`s see. maybe austria has to do other things than supporting war. a kie-ber two reasons. First is to strenghen my eastern flank for several reasons, pressure against russia or england depending on what happened and in case of an austrian intervention in sil the other one is to have kiel open for building eventually a fleet here. Bis dann Thomas
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Moves: arm-sev bla S arm - sev f con s bul Well, looks like I will count russia out. Even if I dont, I think a turkish piece in sev is better than a russian build in sev. Even if I double cross austria later, I will have more control. - Sultan ------------------------------------------- I built the army in ank. No surprise. I will continue to attack Russia and stay on the side of A/I. If I rock the A/I/T alliance, I will just invite England to win. - Sultan