Player Analysis for Fall of 1912 in describe |
Army Bulgaria SUPPORT Fleet Greece. Fleet Greece SUPPORT Army Bulgaria. Army Rumania SUPPORT Army Bulgaria. Army Serbia SUPPORT Army Rumania. Defense. Army Trieste -> Venice. Army Tyrolia SUPPORT Army Trieste -> Venice. Won't succeed, but nothing better to do. Army Galicia HOLD. Maybe I'll try to grab a Russian center next year. --------------- England Unsurprisingly, he stabbed R for the solo. Germany, Italy No communication. I assume they're still aiding E. Russia I asked him to take the lead in talking to IG. Italy broadcasted a rejection of R's plea.
England's Fall 1912 Analysis: The stab went over without a hitch, thankfully, and unless Italy goes abandoned and gets reincarnated as someone really annoying, I should win this pretty soon. Maybe next year, depending on what happens around Munich this turn... There wasn't much conversation this turn, which isn't a surprise. Germany: I did talk to him a bit. We agreed on another set of moves, a set that will get him into Berlin while I take Paris. Russia has approached Germany about trying to stop me, and Germany and I both agreed that the best thing to do here was to lie to Russia and take Berlin from him anyway. Italy: Just gave him a set of moves. He hasn't confirmed them but I'm pretty sure he will. He has absolutely no reason to stop me for Russia's sake, as Russia was the one who put him into trouble anyway. So I'm not worried about him. Austria: Just a brief exchange. He said that there was no way he could prevent the solo and he said he might be attacking Russia, just to vent his frustration. I don't really care what he does, as long as he doesn't get any builds. A fleet in Trieste would annoy me, but that wouldn't really be a threat to my win. Russia: I wrote him right after the results, saying sorry and blah blah blah. He didn't write back. Tactically: F Ion-Gre: I have nothing to lose by going after Austria's Greece, and since this might very well be supported by Italy's F Aeg, it stands a little chance of succeeding. I'd assume he'll have it covered, but this is a keep him honest move. (Italy's other moves, by the way are F Aeg S English F Ion-Gre and F EMed S F Aeg. I don't want his F Aeg getting dislodged.) For this turn, though, I either want to get into Greece - which is fine - or stay in the Ionian, which is fine also. F Tyn-Rom: Just taking Rome from Italy. This will be one of the four centres I gain this turn. F GoL-Tyn: Moving a fleet up into the line. I really don't have to go anywhere past the Ionian to win, and so as long as I keep that secure, I'm in good shape in the ocean. A Tuscany S Italian A Pie-Ven: This move will also be supported by Italy's F Apu, and it's guaranteed to succeed, since Austria can only put two units on Venice. Once Italy's in Venice, this army will just support him in place, blocking off the Boot. F Mar-Pie: This move will follow Italy's army, and block any Austrian move to Piedmont in an attempt to get around Venice. He might do this now and he might do it in the future. So this fleet is probably going to hang here for a while, which is fine. I've got more fleets coming. A Pic-Par: As Germany is going to Berlin, I'll take this from him and keep him at three. He has given me his approval on this. A Kie S German A Mun-Ber: Here's the Berlin move. This is guaranteed to succeed. Germany will also be doing A Ruh S A Bur-Mun. I don't know whether that will work, but Munich will still be safe regardless. A Den S F Nwy-Swe, F Nwy-Swe: Things went like clockwork in the North last turn, and this move is guaranteed to succeed, capturing Sweden. I'm pretty sure the Russian army there will be packing up and going to Finland. F Nth-Nwy: Since the move to Sweden will succeed, this fleet can slip into Norway, capturing that as well. F Bal-GoB: A very key offensive move, I think, as it prevents the Russian fleet in StP(sc) from doing anything useful. If I bounce him, I achieved what I wanted to and kept him tied down. If I don't bounce him, that means he went to Finland or Livonia, both of which are fine with me because I'll be sitting pretty in the GoB. I've worked out that I wouldn't be able to get StP by the end of next Fall (assuming optimal Russian play, of course), and so I'm in no real hurry. But I still don't want to let him breathe. Pretty simple stuff actually. I'm flirting with asking Germany to change his orders to double bounce in Munich with A Ruh-Mun and A Bur-Mun. After he gets to Berlin this turn, he can move that army back to a hopefully clear Munich, let me slip into Berlin and Belgium, and he could defend in place in Munich and stay alive while I get the win next Fall. I think I'll talk to him about that, so his orders may change a little bit. Lord Sheringham ---------------------------------------------------------------------- England's Builds for 1912: These units shouldn't be too important, although one of them will end up in Belgium in the Fall if everything else goes correctly, but I like to build things anyway. F Edinburgh: This fleet will move to Nwg and then to the Barents Sea, where it should be when the game ends after this Fall. It's a threatening position there. A Liverpool: Just building an army because I like to have them occasionally. This will move to Edinburgh in the Spring and then convoy over to Belgium come Fall. F London: I'm moving out to the North Sea in Spring and then convoying that army over in the Fall. The results went just fine, although I wasn't expecting to get into GoB. Russia was better off, in the long run at least, trying to prevent that move. I know he had to guard against F Nwy-StP(nc), but he weakened his position by letting me into GoB. Problem is, that's bad for my short-term scenario of winning this year. I need that fleet back in the Baltic. It's kind of annoying, but all will turn out okay in the end. I did talk to Italy, and asked him to remove F Apulia and F EMed. No confirmation yet. I ask for these two units because 1) he's going to survive in Venice and so he needs that army and 2) with a F Aeg, I can support him in place with F Ion and clog up the Austro-Russian fleets. Not that I think they'll do anything, but I always have to assume that my opponents will play optimally. But as last turn shows, I think Austria doesn't want to bother trying to stop me. I feel like Secretariat coming home in the 1973 Belmont...
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---Overall impression--- E is going to win, it is only a matter of time. I think we still have three more seasons of campaigning with and extra fall then to finish the game. Italy and I are completely with England and given political discourse between R/A it will result in the victory. ---1-Move Justification---- I still have three units A Ruh, A Mun, and A Bur. I have had these, in the same position, for the last 3+ years. All my movements have been bounced, or I have used the armies to support. A Munich to Berlin is designed to capture Berlin and deny a center for Russia. I will not gain a center as Paris is being traded, but it does feel good to be back in the capital of Germany. Further efforts for this army will be to press eastward (but A Prussia Stands in the way as does A Sil) and vacate Berlin in favor of the English. A Ruhr is supporting A Bur to Mun. This will bring the power of Bur on line to support a further attack to the east or in the immediate term to get an army into Tyr (mine or Italian). It also serves the purpose of keeping the Austrian or Russian out of Munich and at worst would bounce a support an army from Tyrolia or Silesia ---2- Intentions with regards to other powers--- A-By being aligned with E, I am effectively at war with A. Except for a possible support or attack from Munich into Tyr (to be coordinated with E/I), I don't see much further interaction with or against him. R-I am in an undeclared war and have become the front line for the English against R. My future actions will depend on what removals he will accomplish in the Winter adjustments. I anticipate that the armies opposite me will remain and the Army in Finland to be disbanded. With English Support from Kiel, R should not be able to destroy me. I-I have not had press relations with I for some time. All our moves come from/are coordinated with E. Perhaps I will be able to support him in the Spring, but other than operating with a common ally (England), there is little we have in common. E-I will continue to be his partner in crime. His personal press has kept me interested in the game and his concern for my lone goal, survival, makes me happy I sided with him early on. I will continue to suggest moves to him for my forces, and will follow what orders he gives me. ---3-Overall situation--- England now has the ducks lined up and will conquer the world. E thinks he can do it in 1913. I'm a little more sceptical though and think it will drag on another season. This assumes the Russian and Austrian can get together on things, and put up a stubborn defense. Austria at least seems to be trying a defense, unlike what I previously thought. R is trying hard too, but will lose in the south, center or north. Thanks for the opportunity to play. Kaiser Willy Jr Germany Mike McMillie
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