| Analysis for Fall of 1907 in gauntlet |
Dear Rick,
Once again my orders are late (this is becoming standard, sorry!), unfortunately this time they are late by almost a week. All I can say is that I have been exceptionally busy this week, preparing for a visit to the Newton Institute in Cambridge next week. I wish I could say that it won't happen again...
Onto my orders. In the south it looks like a guessing game. I couldn't find any way to guarantee taking an Austrian centre, for any set of orders that takes a centre there is an appropriate set of defensive orders. However, I believe that I can force Sev --- AA(Rum) is almost certainly NOT going to support RA(Sev). If I capture Sev I believe that Russia will disband A(Fin). England will then capture StP the following year. I'd rather forgo Sev (giving Russia time to booster his defense with A(War)-Ukr) then allow England to capture StP so quickly.
The obvious orders for Austria are either A(Vie,Bud,Ser) SA(Alb)-Tri, or A(Vie,Bud)SA(Ser)-Tri with A(Alb,Bud) defending Ser in some manner. Since I'm not guaranteed taking a center, I'll order F(MAO)-Bre, hoping that England/France don't co-ordinate and take Bre. The best resolution for me would be a standoff, leaving me in MAO.
Dear Rick,
Austria chose an obvious choice of orders, I could have taken two of his centres if I'd outguessed him. I manage to keep Bre for another year, and more importantly keep F(MAO). England didn't build, even better. My chances of winning are better now then for several years, but it might depend upon getting a second fleet behind the stalemate line. I need to move F(ION) westwards as quickly as possible.
Mark.